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Gicumbi vs Gorilla

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Gicumbi Logo

Gicumbi

0 - 1
FT
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Gicumbi and Gorilla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gicumbi
20%
Draws
46%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorilla have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Gicumbi are scoring more at 1.17.
  • Win probability leans Gorilla's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 16%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gicumbi Gorilla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Gorilla
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Gicumbi
0:0
Mar 5, 2022 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Gorilla
1:1
Nov 26, 2021 Premier League
Gorilla vs Gicumbi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gicumbi 15 / 100
Gorilla 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gicumbi Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gicumbi's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gorilla let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Gicumbi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gicumbi VS Gorilla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gicumbi

(Home)
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1
Gicumbi
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Gorilla

(Away)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)