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Gicumbi vs Gorilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Gicumbi Logo

Gicumbi

0 - 1
FT
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Gicumbi and Gorilla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gicumbi
15%
Draws
36%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gicumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorilla have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Gicumbi are scoring more at 1.17.
  • Win probability leans Gicumbi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 68%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gicumbi Gorilla
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Gorilla
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Gicumbi
0:0
Mar 5, 2022 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Gorilla
1:1
Nov 26, 2021 Premier League
Gorilla vs Gicumbi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gicumbi 68 / 100
Gorilla 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gicumbi Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gicumbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gicumbi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gorilla let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Gicumbi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gicumbi VS Gorilla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gicumbi

(Home)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 6

Gorilla

(Away)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)