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Gicumbi vs Musanze

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Premier League 2025/2026
Gicumbi Logo

Gicumbi

0 - 3
FT
Musanze Logo

Musanze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Gicumbi and Musanze finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musanze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Gicumbi
15%
Draws
31%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gicumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Musanze haven't matched Gicumbi's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Musanze have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 68%
Musanze Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gicumbi Musanze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Musanze
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs Gicumbi
3:2
Apr 23, 2022 Premier League
Musanze vs Gicumbi
1:0
Dec 19, 2021 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Musanze
0:0
Mar 10, 2020 Premier League
Musanze vs Gicumbi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gicumbi 41 / 100
Musanze 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gicumbi Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gicumbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gicumbi scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Musanze conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gicumbi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gicumbi VS Musanze
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gicumbi

(Home)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
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Musanze

(Away)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)