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Stadium Background

Giessen vs Fernwald Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Giessen in this Oberliga Hessen matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Giessen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Giessen
30%
Draws
47%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Giessen lately — more wins on the board than Fernwald.
  • Fernwald are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Giessen Clean Sheet 10%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giessen Fernwald
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Giessen vs Fernwald
4:3
May 23, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Giessen vs Fernwald
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Giessen
3:2
Apr 1, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Giessen vs Fernwald
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Giessen
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giessen 14 / 100
Fernwald 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giessen Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giessen found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Fernwald has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Giessen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Giessen VS Fernwald
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Giessen

(Home)
26 Sept
Giessen
1 : 3
Eddersheim
19 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
5 : 0
Giessen
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Hadamar
2 : 1
Giessen
05 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
2 : 1
Giessen
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Fernwald

(Away)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unter-Flockenbach 11 8 1 2 34:20 25
2 Stadtallendorf 11 7 2 2 33:10 23
3 Eddersheim 11 6 4 1 26:18 22
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 11 6 3 2 24:17 21
5 Hadamar 11 6 2 3 20:18 20
6 Hunfelder 11 6 1 4 21:16 19
7 VfB Marburg 11 5 2 4 15:14 17
8 Pohlheim 11 5 2 4 18:19 17
9 Darmstadt U21 11 4 3 4 24:17 15
10 Fernwald 11 3 6 2 18:16 15
11 CSC 03 Kassel 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 RW Walldorf 11 4 1 6 17:24 13
13 Baunatal 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
14 Alzenau 11 2 4 5 11:18 10
15 Hummetroth 11 2 3 6 16:24 9
16 Kassel 2 11 2 2 7 12:18 8
17 Hanauer SC 11 1 4 6 18:29 7
18 Giessen 11 1 3 7 14:29 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)