Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Giessen vs Vellmar

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018
Giessen Logo

Giessen

9 - 1
FT
Vellmar Logo

Vellmar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Giessen in this Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 9-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Giessen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Giessen
15%
Draws
49%
Vellmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vellmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Giessen have won more games recently than Vellmar.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Giessen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Giessen here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Giessen Clean Sheet 10%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giessen Vellmar
Matches Played 44 34
Wins 23 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 2.66 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 Oberliga Hessen
Giessen vs Vellmar
9:1
Oct 7, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Giessen
1:7
Mar 19, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Giessen vs Vellmar
2:0
Sep 12, 2015 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Giessen
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giessen 56 / 100
Vellmar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giessen Vellmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giessen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giessen's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Vellmar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 6.75 goals as a typical output.

Vellmar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giessen VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Giessen

(Home)
19 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
5 : 0
Giessen
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Hadamar
2 : 1
Giessen
05 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
2 : 1
Giessen
29 Aug
Giessen
1 : 3
VfB Marburg
Page 1 of 9

Vellmar

(Away)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 23 3 6 88:29 72
2 Alzenau 32 19 9 4 89:39 66
3 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 19 9 4 82:41 66
4 Giessen 32 19 6 7 96:37 63
5 Waldgirmes 32 17 6 9 58:42 57
6 Hadamar 32 14 10 8 79:50 52
7 Fulda 32 15 7 10 63:38 52
8 Ginsheim 32 13 7 12 53:51 46
9 Lohfelden 32 13 5 14 52:55 44
10 Baunatal 32 13 5 14 59:52 44
11 SpVgg Neu-Isenburg 32 10 9 13 41:56 39
12 Flieden 32 12 1 19 48:71 37
13 Ederbergland 32 9 7 16 37:73 34
14 Viktoria Griesheim 32 7 6 19 45:89 27
15 RW Frankfurt 32 7 5 20 46:85 26
16 Vellmar 32 6 5 21 41:95 23
17 SV Steinbach 32 3 6 23 39:113 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2018/2019 (Main)