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Gievenbeck vs Brunninghausen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gievenbeck play Brunninghausen in the Oberliga Westfalen 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gievenbeck averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Brunninghausen averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Gievenbeck won 3, Brunninghausen won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Gievenbeck and 1.19 for Brunninghausen. This points to a Gievenbeck double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Gievenbeck
25%
Draws
20%
Brunninghausen
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Gievenbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Gievenbeck picked up more points recently compared to Brunninghausen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Gievenbeck Clean Sheet 20%
Brunninghausen Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gievenbeck Brunninghausen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs Brunninghausen
2:1
Feb 9, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Brunninghausen vs Gievenbeck
0:3
Apr 22, 2019 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs Brunninghausen
2:0
Oct 28, 2018 Oberliga Westfalen
Brunninghausen vs Gievenbeck
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gievenbeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Frese N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin L. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Brunninghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Trapp J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gievenbeck 54 / 100
Brunninghausen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gievenbeck Brunninghausen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gievenbeck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gievenbeck & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gievenbeck attacking → ← attacking Brunninghausen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gievenbeck scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Brunninghausen let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gievenbeck went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Brunninghausen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 23
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lotte34244693:3276
2Turkspor Dortmund34235682:4174
3ASC 09 Dortmund34224861:3570
4Erkenschwick34197877:5164
5Gievenbeck34187962:3461
6Preussen Munster 2341512764:3957
7Siegen341411965:4653
8Schermbeck 2020341631563:6751
9Vreden341551454:4850
10Westfalia Rhynern341281449:5644
11Finnentrop/Bamenohl341281471:8344
12TUS Ennepetal341071747:7037
13SG Wattenscheid341042046:6934
14TUS Bovinghausen341022241:9132
15Clarholz34871941:6631
16Eintracht Rheine34781944:7729
17Brunninghausen345111840:7026
18Sprockhovel34672148:7325