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Gievenbeck vs Vreden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gievenbeck host Vreden in the Oberliga Westfalen. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Gievenbeck have averaged 1.89 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Vreden's 1.81 scored and 1.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Gievenbeck have won 3 to Vreden's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 2.19) point toward Gievenbeck. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gievenbeck
15%
Draws
39%
Vreden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gievenbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vreden have managed 1.81 goals a game lately — Gievenbeck are scoring more at 1.89.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Gievenbeck taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gievenbeck Clean Sheet 10%
Vreden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gievenbeck Vreden
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs Vreden
4:2
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Gievenbeck
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs Vreden
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Gievenbeck
0:1
May 3, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs Vreden
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gievenbeck 34 / 100
Vreden 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gievenbeck Vreden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gievenbeck's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Vreden let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Gievenbeck stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gievenbeck VS Vreden
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gievenbeck

(Home)
04 Oct
Gievenbeck
3 : 0
Hiltrup
30 Sept
Verl II
6 : 0
Gievenbeck
19 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 0
Arminia Bielefeld II
13 Sept
Clarholz
2 : 4
Gievenbeck
04 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 1
Preussen Munster 2
Page 1 of 6

Vreden

(Away)
04 Oct
TuS Hordel
1 : 4
Vreden
27 Sept
Vreden
2 : 0
Lippstadt
20 Sept
Schermbeck 2020
1 : 3
Vreden
13 Sept
Vreden
1 : 6
Eintracht Rheine
04 Sept
Sprockhovel
4 : 4
Vreden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 9 6 1 2 19:12 19
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 25:19 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 20:13 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
6 Lippstadt 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 25:17 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
9 ASC 09 Dortmund 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
10 Arminia Bielefeld II 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
11 Preussen Munster 2 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 14:17 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 17:23 9
15 Clarholz 9 2 2 5 21:22 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
17 TUS Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 10:23 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)