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Gifu vs Omiya Ardija

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gifu play Omiya Ardija in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gifu averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Omiya Ardija averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Gifu won 0, Omiya Ardija won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Gifu and 1.75 for Omiya Ardija. This points to a Omiya Ardija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gifu
15%
Draws
48%
Omiya Ardija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omiya Ardija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Gifu picked up more points recently compared to Omiya Ardija.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Gifu Clean Sheet 12%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gifu Omiya Ardija
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 1 1
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.47 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gifu vs Omiya Ardija
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Gifu
3:0
Nov 16, 2024 J3 League
Gifu vs Omiya Ardija
2:2
Mar 13, 2024 J.League Cup
Gifu vs Omiya Ardija
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Gifu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gifu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer Kojima M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yamamoto O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gifu 36 / 100
Omiya Ardija 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gifu Omiya Ardija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Omiya Ardija or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gifu attacking → ← attacking Omiya Ardija

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gifu scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Omiya Ardija let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Gifu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Omiya Ardija lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 49
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515