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Gijang United vs Geoje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gijang United host Geoje in the K4 League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Gijang United at 1.44 goals for, 1.96 against; Geoje at 1.79 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Geoje slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.75) point toward Geoje. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gijang United
15%
Draws
53%
Geoje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Geoje come out ahead of Gijang United on wins alone.
  • Geoje are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gijang United Clean Sheet 12%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijang United Geoje
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.44 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 K4 League
Geoje vs Gijang United
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijang United 19 / 100
Geoje 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijang United Geoje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geoje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Gijang United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (25 games).

Geoje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Gijang United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gijang United VS Geoje
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijang United

(Home)
10 Oct
Sejong SA
5 : 2
Gijang United
03 Oct
Namyangju
2 : 1
Gijang United
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
29 Aug
Pyeongtaek Citizen
2 : 3
Gijang United
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 5

Geoje

(Away)
11 Oct
Geoje
3 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
19 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
0 : 2
Geoje
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 22 16 3 3 51:18 51
2 Jincheon 22 12 6 4 43:21 42
3 Namyangju 23 11 6 6 32:29 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 22 11 4 7 40:27 37
5 Geumsan Insam 22 9 8 5 35:25 35
6 Geoje 20 9 4 7 36:26 31
7 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
8 Pyeongchang United 22 9 3 10 30:33 30
9 Sejong SA 22 9 2 11 35:49 29
10 Gijang United 22 8 2 12 31:43 26
11 Haman 21 6 2 13 23:37 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 22 3 5 14 27:48 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 22 4 2 16 24:48 14
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