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Gijon B vs Barcia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Boza D.
33' Event
Fuentes T.
71' Event
Fernandez M.

AI Match Summary

Gijon B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gijon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gijon B
20%
Draws
23%
Barcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Barcia haven't matched Gijon B's recent run of results.
  • Gijon B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 68%
Barcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijon B Barcia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 2.16 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Gijon B
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Barcia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gijon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Boza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuentes T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Barcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon B 95 / 100
Barcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijon B Barcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon B scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Barcia conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gijon B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gijon B VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijon B

(Home)
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
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Barcia

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)