Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Caudal Deportivo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gijon B play Caudal Deportivo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gijon B averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Caudal Deportivo averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Gijon B won 2, Caudal Deportivo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Gijon B and 1.44 for Caudal Deportivo. This points to a Gijon B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Gijon B

20%

Draws

38%

Caudal Deportivo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Gijon B picked up more points recently compared to Caudal Deportivo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Gijon B Clean Sheet 16%

Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gijon B	Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	18	20
Draws	7	6
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	2.4	1.69
Goals Conceded	0.77	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Gijon B vs Caudal Deportivo

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Caudal Deportivo vs Gijon B

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Gijon B vs Caudal Deportivo

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Caudal Deportivo vs Gijon B

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

3:2

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Gijon B vs Caudal Deportivo

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gijon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Conde M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Rubio B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon B 41 / 100

Caudal Deportivo 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gijon B Caudal Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gijon B or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gijon B attacking → ← attacking Caudal Deportivo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon B scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Caudal Deportivo let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Gijon B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Caudal Deportivo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 66

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Llanera	34	29	4	1	71:18	91
2	Covadonga	34	25	5	4	88:24	80
3	Gijon B	34	19	10	5	79:29	67
4	Caudal Deportivo	34	20	6	8	59:39	66
5	CD Mosconia	34	16	7	11	46:29	55
6	EI San Martin	34	14	9	11	36:36	51
7	L Entregu CF	34	13	10	11	41:42	49
8	Union Club Ceares	34	12	9	13	39:40	45
9	Praviano	34	11	9	14	36:42	42
10	Club Siero	34	11	8	15	39:49	41
11	CD Colunga	34	10	9	15	38:59	39
12	Llanes	34	8	13	13	44:51	37
13	Aviles Stadium	34	6	15	13	21:40	33
14	Gijon Industrial	34	7	11	16	36:57	32
15	Lenense	34	7	11	16	36:58	32
16	Navarro	34	6	13	15	38:53	31
17	Tuilla	34	7	6	21	31:60	27
18	Real Titanico	34	3	9	22	22:74	18