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Gijon Industrial vs Astur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gijon Industrial host Astur in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Astur have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Gijon Industrial have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.16. Past meetings favor Astur slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2016, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.00, favoring Gijon Industrial. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Gijon Industrial
30%
Draws
16%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gijon Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gijon Industrial come out ahead of Astur on wins alone.
  • Gijon Industrial are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gijon Industrial Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijon Industrial Astur
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 13 5
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.16 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Astur
1:1
Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Gijon Industrial
2:1
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Gijon Industrial
0:0
Aug 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Astur
0:1
Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Gijon Industrial
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon Industrial 85 / 100
Astur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijon Industrial Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon Industrial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Gijon Industrial's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Gijon Industrial went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Astur lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gijon Industrial VS Astur
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijon Industrial

(Home)
04 Oct
Andes CF
0 : 3
Gijon Industrial
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2
Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 7

Astur

(Away)
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)