Sport Picks
Gil Vicente U19 vs Chaves U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
38'
38'
Castro L.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Gil Vicente U19 and Chaves U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gil Vicente U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Chaves U19 haven't matched Gil Vicente U19's recent run of results.
- Model gives Gil Vicente U19 a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gil Vicente U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Chaves U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.34 | 2.02 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Chaves U19
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
1:5
Dec 14, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Chaves U19
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
1:4
May 18, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gil Vicente U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67
Chaves U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.84
Avg xA / game 1.12
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gil Vicente U19 77 / 100
Chaves U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gil Vicente U19 Chaves U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gil Vicente U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gil Vicente U19 scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Chaves U19 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Gil Vicente U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gil Vicente U19 VS Chaves U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.8
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Gil Vicente U19
(Home) 19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1 Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Gil Vicente U19
2 : 0 Vizela U19
05 Sept
Feirense U19
1 : 0 Gil Vicente U19
29 Aug
Braga U19
0 : 0 Gil Vicente U19
22 Aug
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 0 Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Gil Vicente U19
2 : 0 Vizela U19
22 Aug
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 0 Academico Viseu U19
15 Aug
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 0 Famalicao U19
09 May
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 0 Santa Clara U19
25 Apr
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 4 Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 3
Chaves U19
(Away) 25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0 Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2 Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2 Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2 Chaves U19
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2 Chaves U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2 Chaves U19
28 Feb
Moreirense U19
2 : 0 Chaves U19
07 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1 Chaves U19
31 Jan
Pacos Ferreira U19
0 : 1 Chaves U19
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
