Sport Picks
Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos 
Match Events
26'
26'
Brito R.
31'
31'
Murilo de Souza
45'
45'
Ze Carlos
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between Gil Vicente and Casa Pia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gil Vicente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gil Vicente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gil Vicente come out ahead of Casa Pia on wins alone.
- Model gives Gil Vicente a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 68%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gil Vicente | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia
2:0
Apr 27, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gil Vicente Compare
Top Goalscorer Murilo de Souza
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Casa Pia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gil Vicente 68 / 100
Casa Pia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gil Vicente Casa Pia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gil Vicente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gil Vicente scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Casa Pia let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Gil Vicente remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gil Vicente VS Casa Pia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gil Vicente
(Home) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
Page 1 of 4
Casa Pia
(Away) 20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2 Casa Pia
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4 FC Porto
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0 Casa Pia
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2 Casa Pia
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0 Casa Pia
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
08 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0 Casa Pia
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
