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Gil Vicente vs FC Porto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Walace Franca In: Pinto Martins G.
Out: Walace Franca
46'
Sub
Fernandes J. In: Parente C.
Out: Fernandes J.
46'
Sub
Moreira D. In: Moreira da Costa W.
Out: Moreira D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gil Vicente and FC Porto finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gil Vicente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gil Vicente
20%
Draws
56%
FC Porto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Porto come out ahead of Gil Vicente on wins alone.
  • FC Porto are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 18%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gil Vicente FC Porto
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 23
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Gil Vicente vs FC Porto
1:0
Jan 26, 2026 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Gil Vicente
3:0
Aug 18, 2025 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs FC Porto
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs FC Porto
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Gil Vicente
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gil Vicente Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchaptchet A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FC Porto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gil Vicente 20 / 100
FC Porto 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gil Vicente FC Porto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Gil Vicente has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Porto let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gil Vicente VS FC Porto
0.75 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gil Vicente

(Home)
09 Oct
Moreirense
0 : 1
Gil Vicente
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1
Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
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FC Porto

(Away)
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1
Benfica
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2
Manchester City
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1
Moreirense
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