Sport Picks
Gil Vicente vs Nelas
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 6-1, with Gil Vicente advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gil Vicente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gil Vicente come out ahead of Nelas on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Gil Vicente's way, sitting at 42%.
- Gil Vicente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gil Vicente, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 18%
Nelas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gil Vicente | Nelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 9 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Nelas
6:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gil Vicente 41 / 100
Nelas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gil Vicente Nelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Gil Vicente's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Gil Vicente stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Nelas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gil Vicente VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gil Vicente
(Home) 22 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 FC Porto
18 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 FC Felgueiras
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
11 May
Gil Vicente
1 : 3 Arouca
03 May
Rio Ave
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 FC Porto
18 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 FC Felgueiras
11 May
Gil Vicente
1 : 3 Arouca
27 Apr
Gil Vicente
2 : 1 Casa Pia
18 Apr
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 4
Nelas
(Away) 18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
Page 1 of 2
18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
30 Oct
Paredes
4 : 0 Nelas
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chaves3
Leca0
Coimbroes2
Uniao Da Serra3
Academica2
Portimonense1
Torre De Moncorvo0
Beira Mar4
Nacional2
Varzim1
Vila Mea0
Fatima3
Tirsense1
Oliv. Bairro0
Aljustrelense1
Pacos Ferreira3
Pinhalnovense1
Sintrense0
Operario1
Oeiras6
Vigor Mocidade4
Cruzado Canicense1
Paredes1
Camacha3
Aliados Lordelo2
Machico0
Casa Pia1
Leixoes2
Gil Vicente6
Nelas1
Padroense0
Naval1
Rio Ave2
Esmoriz1
Maritimo1
Santa Clara2
Benfica6
Monsanto0
Feirense1
Vitoria Guimaraes3
Freamunde3
Carregado0
Merelinense1
Leiria2
Vitoria Setubal2
Atletico CP0
Covilha0
Braga1
Sporting CP3
Penafiel0
Cinfaes1
Pescadores Caparica2
U. Madeira2
Alcains0
Vieira0
Mafra1
BSAD3
Oriental1
Olhanense1
Valenciano2
Oliveirense2
Tondela1
Sertanense0
FC Porto4
1/16-finals
Chaves2
Uniao Da Serra0
Academica1
Beira Mar2
Nacional1
Fatima0
Tirsense0
Pacos Ferreira1
Pinhalnovense2
Oeiras1
Vigor Mocidade0
Camacha1
Aliados Lordelo1
Leixoes0
Gil Vicente2
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Santa Clara0
Benfica0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Freamunde3
Leiria2
Vitoria Setubal0
Braga3
Sporting CP4
Pescadores Caparica1
U. Madeira1
Mafra2
BSAD1
Valenciano0
Oliveirense0
FC Porto2
1/8-finals
Chaves1
Beira Mar0
Nacional1
Pacos Ferreira2
Pinhalnovense1
Camacha0
Aliados Lordelo0
Naval1
Rio Ave3
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Freamunde1
Braga3
Sporting CP4
Mafra3
BSAD2
FC Porto3
Quarter-finals
Chaves2
Pacos Ferreira1
Pinhalnovense1
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Braga0
Sporting CP2
FC Porto5
Semi-finals
Chaves3
Naval1
Rio Ave1
FC Porto7
Final
Chaves1
FC Porto2