Sport Picks
Gil Vicente vs Nelas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 6-1, with Gil Vicente advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gil Vicente come out ahead of Nelas on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Gil Vicente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gil Vicente, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 20%
Nelas Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gil Vicente | Nelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 9 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Nelas
6:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gil Vicente 31 / 100
Nelas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gil Vicente Nelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gil Vicente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Gil Vicente's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Gil Vicente stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Nelas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gil Vicente VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gil Vicente
(Home) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
Page 1 of 4
Nelas
(Away) 18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
Page 1 of 2
18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
30 Oct
Paredes
4 : 0 Nelas
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chaves 3
Leca 0
Coimbroes 2
Uniao Da Serra 3
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Beira Mar 4
Nacional 2
Varzim 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
Tirsense 1
Oliv. Bairro 0
Aljustrelense 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Pinhalnovense 1
Sintrense 0
Operario 1
Oeiras 6
Vigor Mocidade 4
Cruzado Canicense 1
Paredes 1
Camacha 3
Aliados Lordelo 2
Machico 0
Casa Pia 1
Leixoes 2
Gil Vicente 6
Nelas 1
Padroense 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 2
Esmoriz 1
Maritimo 1
Santa Clara 2
Benfica 6
Monsanto 0
Feirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Freamunde 3
Carregado 0
Merelinense 1
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 2
Atletico CP 0
Covilha 0
Braga 1
Sporting CP 3
Penafiel 0
Cinfaes 1
Pescadores Caparica 2
U. Madeira 2
Alcains 0
Vieira 0
Mafra 1
BSAD 3
Oriental 1
Olhanense 1
Valenciano 2
Oliveirense 2
Tondela 1
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Chaves 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Academica 1
Beira Mar 2
Nacional 1
Fatima 0
Tirsense 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Oeiras 1
Vigor Mocidade 0
Camacha 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 0
Benfica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Freamunde 3
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Pescadores Caparica 1
U. Madeira 1
Mafra 2
BSAD 1
Valenciano 0
Oliveirense 0
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Chaves 1
Beira Mar 0
Nacional 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Camacha 0
Aliados Lordelo 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Freamunde 1
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Mafra 3
BSAD 2
FC Porto 3
Quarter-finals
Chaves 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Sporting CP 2
FC Porto 5
Semi-finals
Chaves 3
Naval 1
Rio Ave 1
FC Porto 7
Final
Chaves 1
FC Porto 2
