Sport Picks
Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos 
Match Events
33'
33'
Silva G.
63'
63'
Sub
Moreira A. In: Fernandes J.
Out: Moreira A.
64'
64'
Sub
Sousa D. In: Nogueira G.
Out: Sousa D.
AI Match Summary
Vitoria Guimaraes in this Liga Portugal 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Vitoria Guimaraes average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Gil Vicente's 1.34.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Gil Vicente taking it.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Vitoria Guimaraes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gil Vicente | Vitoria Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:1
Dec 8, 2025 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente
0:0
Apr 11, 2025 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:1
Dec 2, 2024 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente
4:0
Feb 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gil Vicente Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Vitoria Guimaraes Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gil Vicente 36 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gil Vicente Vitoria Guimaraes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gil Vicente's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Gil Vicente has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gil Vicente VS Vitoria Guimaraes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gil Vicente
(Home) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
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19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
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Vitoria Guimaraes
(Away) 25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0 Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes
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25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2 Vitoria Guimaraes
02 Aug
Varzim
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
