Sport Picks
Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers
England
League Two 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
16'
16'
Hale R.
(Penalty)
34'
34'
Leigh T.
35'
35'
Waldock H.
AI Match Summary
Bristol Rovers in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bristol Rovers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Bristol Rovers have won more games recently than Gillingham.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 21%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham
0:1
Feb 20, 2021 League One
Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers
2:0
Dec 2, 2020 League One
Bristol Rovers vs Gillingham
0:2
May 3, 2020 League One
Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Bristol Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Kilgour A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Harrison E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 32 / 100
Bristol Rovers 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Bristol Rovers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bristol Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bristol Rovers let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Gillingham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Gillingham scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS Bristol Rovers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 22 Aug
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 Gillingham
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Walsall
08 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Luton
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2 Gillingham
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Walsall
08 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Luton
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 3
Bristol Rovers
(Away) 22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
15 Aug
York City
3 : 2 Bristol Rovers
08 Aug
Bristol Rovers
0 : 1 Peterborough
21 Jul
Forest Green
2 : 2 Bristol Rovers
18 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
York City
3 : 2 Bristol Rovers
21 Jul
Forest Green
2 : 2 Bristol Rovers
11 Jul
Salisbury
2 : 3 Bristol Rovers
07 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 3 Bristol Rovers
02 May
Notts County
1 : 1 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
