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Gillingham vs Charlton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Kelman C. In: Kanu D.
Out: Kelman C.
46'
Sub
Fullah I. In: Trialist A
Out: Fullah I.
46'
Sub
Kaminski T. In: Brooks T.
Out: Kaminski T.

AI Match Summary

Charlton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gillingham
40%
Draws
29%
Charlton
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charlton lately — more wins on the board than Gillingham.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Charlton here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 17%
Charlton Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Charlton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Charlton
0:1
Dec 2, 2023 FA Cup
Gillingham vs Charlton
2:0
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Charlton
1:3
Aug 31, 2022 EFL Trophy
Charlton vs Gillingham
3:0
Mar 15, 2022 League One
Charlton vs Gillingham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Charlton Compare

Top Goalscorer Burke R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 31 / 100
Charlton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Charlton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Charlton let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Gillingham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Charlton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2
Gillingham
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Charlton

(Away)
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2
Charlton
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0
Charlton
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
10 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1
Charlton
03 Jul
Dartford
0 : 1
Charlton
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