Sport Picks
Gillingham vs Grimsby
England
League Two 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
42'
42'
Cook A.
Assist: Green K.
45'
45'
Amaluzor J.
45'
45'
Little A.
AI Match Summary
Grimsby in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grimsby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
35%
29%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Gillingham haven't matched Grimsby's recent run of results.
- Gillingham are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 68%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Grimsby
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Gillingham
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Gillingham
1:1
Oct 1, 2024 League Two
Gillingham vs Grimsby
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 League Two
Gillingham vs Grimsby
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Top Goalscorer McCleary G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Cook A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kabia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 68 / 100
Grimsby 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Grimsby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gillingham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gillingham has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Gillingham scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Grimsby let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS Grimsby
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Gillingham
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Walsall
08 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Luton
Page 1 of 3
Grimsby
(Away) 19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
22 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Grimsby
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
