Sport Picks

England

EFL Cup Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham

Gillingham

0 - 3

Luton

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Wells N.

Assist: Luker J.

48'

Sub

Luker J. In: Palmer K.

Out: Luker J.

49'

Albarus Z.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Gillingham

15%

Draws

53%

Luton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Luton carry the better recent record into this one.
53% — that's where the model lands on Luton taking it.
Luton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Luton, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Luton have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%

Luton Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gillingham	Luton
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	18
Draws	3	6
Losses	17	5
Goals Scored	0.97	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.86	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup

Gillingham vs Luton

0:3

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly

Gillingham vs Luton

0:2

Aug 29, 2023 EFL Cup

Luton vs Gillingham

3:2

Mar 16, 2019 League One

Luton vs Gillingham

2:2

Nov 24, 2018 League One

Gillingham vs Luton

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Luton Compare

Top Goalscorer Wells N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Benagr B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 14 / 100

Luton 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gillingham Luton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luton Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:8

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Luton let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Gillingham found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Gillingham stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Luton

1.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)

15 Aug

Gillingham

0 : 3

Walsall

08 Aug

Gillingham

0 : 3

Luton

31 Jul

Ebbsfleet

1 : 2

Gillingham

21 Jul

Gillingham

1 : 0

Millwall

18 Jul

Gillingham

0 : 1

Charlton

Page 1 of 6

Luton

(Away)

15 Aug

Reading

3 : 4

Luton

08 Aug

Gillingham

0 : 3

Luton

02 Aug

Luton

0 : 1

G.A. Eagles

25 Jul

Luton

2 : 0

Al Kholood

18 Jul

Barnet

2 : 2

Luton

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford Utd 0

Ipswich -

TBD -

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1

Reading 2

Cambridge Utd 2

Barnet 1

QPR 1

Millwall 2

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

TBD -

Brentford -

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Watford 1

Crawley Town 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Fulham -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 2

Newport 1

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

TBD -

Coventry -

Chelsea -

TBD -

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Tottenham -

TBD -

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Rotherham 1

West Brom 4

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield Utd 3

Nottingham -

TBD -

Leeds -

Stockport County 1

Doncaster 2

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Barnsley 2

Wigan 1

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

Preston 2

Huddersfield 1

TBD -

Everton -

Stoke City 2

Oldham 0

TBD -

Hull City -

Sheffield Wed 1

Bolton 0

Wolves 3

Port Vale 0

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Fleetwood Town 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford 1

Shrewsbury 2

Bradford City 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 2

Notts County 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

Walsall -

Leyton Orient -

Ipswich -

Leicester -

Cardiff -

Norwich -

Stevenage -

Reading -

Cambridge Utd -

Millwall -

Birmingham -

Brentford -

Southampton -

West Ham -

Watford -

Peterborough -

Fulham -

AFC Wimbledon -

Plymouth -

Coventry -

Chelsea -

Luton -

Tottenham -

Charlton -

Newcastle Utd -

West Brom -

Blackburn -

Sheffield Utd -

Nottingham -

Leeds -

Doncaster -

Middlesbrough -

Barnsley -

Crewe -

Preston -

Everton -

Stoke City -

Hull City -

Sheffield Wed -

Wolves -

Blackpool -

Lincoln City -

Fleetwood Town -

Shrewsbury -

Bradford City -

Burnley -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Gillingham vs Luton

England

Gillingham

Luton

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Gillingham Compare

Luton Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

Luton

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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