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Stadium Background

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Go Jae-Hyeon
12'
Byeon Jun-Soo
32'
Byeon Jun-Soo

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Gimcheon Sangmu and Jeju SK finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gimcheon Sangmu
33%
Draws
40%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jeju SK come out ahead of Gimcheon Sangmu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jeju SK's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 18%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Jeju SK
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK
3:1
May 17, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Cheol-Woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueiredo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 28 / 100
Jeju SK 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Jeju SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Jeju SK let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gimcheon Sangmu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Jeju SK
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
18 Jul
Gangwon
2 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
11 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
17 May
Jeonbuk
1 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

Jeju SK

(Away)
21 Jul
Jeju SK
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Jul
Jeju SK
2 : 1
Pohang
12 Jul
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Daejeon
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
17 May
Jeju SK
1 : 2
Anyang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul19133334:1442
2Gangwon1988324:1232
3Jeonbuk1986525:1630
4Ulsan Hyundai1984727:2828
5Pohang1984720:1928
6Anyang1969426:2227
7Incheon1983824:2027
8Jeju SK1966717:1924
9Daejeon1948721:2020
10Bucheon FC 19951947817:2419
11Gimcheon Sangmu19211618:2617
12Gwangju FC19171110:4310
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)