Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Jose Maria Paz

Atletico Escobar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Chivilcoy play Atletico Escobar in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gimnasia Chivilcoy averaged 1 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Atletico Escobar averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 2, Atletico Escobar won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy and 0.63 for Atletico Escobar. This points to a Gimnasia Chivilcoy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

22%

Draws

32%

Atletico Escobar

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Gimnasia Chivilcoy picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Escobar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 29%

Atletico Escobar Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	Atletico Escobar
Matches Played	29	17
Wins	11	6
Draws	7	3
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1	1.12
Goals Conceded	0.86	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Atletico Escobar

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Apr 16, 2026 Torneo Federal

Atletico Escobar vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Atletico Escobar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 47 / 100

Atletico Escobar 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Atletico Escobar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gimnasia Chivilcoy or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gimnasia Chivilcoy attacking → ← attacking Atletico Escobar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Chivilcoy scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Atletico Escobar let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Escobar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 21

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
8	Atletico Escobar	16	5	3	8	17:26	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	15	6	4	5	18:15	22
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	15	7	5	3	19:7	26
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9