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Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Jose Maria Paz, Chivilcoy
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ramirez D.
17'
Fiol F.
46'
Sub
D'Amelio X. In: Almada L.
Out: D'Amelio X.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
35%
Draws
40%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gimnasia Chivilcoy a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpo Bahia Blanca, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Chivilcoy Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0.9 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:2
Sep 27, 2026 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiol F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guille B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 42 / 100
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Olimpo Bahia Blanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia Chivilcoy scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Chivilcoy VS Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

(Home)
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
Page 1 of 6

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

(Away)
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1
Cipolletti
30 Aug
Biblioteca Atenas
1 : 0
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
San Martin Formosa 2
Biblioteca Atenas 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 4
Alvarado 4
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 2
Cipolletti 6
Sol de America 2
Semi-finals
San Martin Formosa -
Olimpo Bahia Blanca -
Alvarado -
Cipolletti -
Final
TBD -
TBD -