Sport Picks
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Jose Maria Paz, Chivilcoy 
Match Events
36'
36'
Zarate A.
47'
47'
Sanchez Arriola M.
50'
50'
Dauria M.
AI Match Summary
Gimnasia Chivilcoy in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gimnasia Chivilcoy lately — more wins on the board than Sarmiento de La Banda.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia Chivilcoy taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | Sarmiento de La Banda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare
Top Goalscorer Zarate A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sarmiento de La Banda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 95 / 100
Sarmiento de La Banda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Sarmiento de La Banda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnasia Chivilcoy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gimnasia Chivilcoy scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Sarmiento de La Banda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Gimnasia Chivilcoy remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia Chivilcoy VS Sarmiento de La Banda
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
(Home) 10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Sol de America
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04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Sol de America
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
16 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 1 San Martin Formosa
01 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
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Sarmiento de La Banda
(Away) 11 Oct
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
08 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
