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Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Jose Maria Paz, Chivilcoy
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Gallo M.
38'
Bono J.
47'
Churchi S.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Gimnasia Chivilcoy and Sportivo Belgrano finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20%
Draws
30%
Sportivo Belgrano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportivo Belgrano haven't matched Gimnasia Chivilcoy's recent run of results.
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Chivilcoy Sportivo Belgrano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.9 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:0
May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano
3:0
Jun 15, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 95 / 100
Sportivo Belgrano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Sportivo Belgrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia Chivilcoy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia Chivilcoy scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Gimnasia Chivilcoy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sportivo Belgrano lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Sportivo Belgrano has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Chivilcoy VS Sportivo Belgrano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

(Home)
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Belgrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
17 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)