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Gimnasia E.R. vs 9 de Julio Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez, Concepción del Uruguay
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. 9 de Julio Rafaela have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Gimnasia E.R. have conceded 0.79 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor 9 de Julio Rafaela slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.06 - 0.75) back 9 de Julio Rafaela to edge this. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gimnasia E.R.
20%
Draws
40%
9 de Julio Rafaela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to 9 de Julio Rafaela lately — more wins on the board than Gimnasia E.R..
  • Win probability leans Gimnasia E.R.'s way, sitting at 36%.
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gimnasia E.R., who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 20%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia E.R. 9 de Julio Rafaela
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
3:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia E.R.
4:1
Jun 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia E.R.
2:0
Jul 7, 2024 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia E.R.
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia E.R. 36 / 100
9 de Julio Rafaela 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia E.R. 9 de Julio Rafaela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

9 de Julio Rafaela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gimnasia E.R. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia E.R. scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia E.R. VS 9 de Julio Rafaela
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia E.R.

(Home)
19 Sept
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0
Sarmiento Resistencia
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Atletico Escobar
0 : 2
Gimnasia E.R.
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9 de Julio Rafaela

(Away)
20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras 0
Juventud Antoniana 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM 2
San Martin Mendoza 0
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -