Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez

Gimnasia E.R.

1 - 0

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia E.R. play Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gimnasia E.R. averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Gimnasia E.R. won 2, Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Gimnasia E.R. and 0.56 for Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo. This points to a Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Gimnasia E.R.

32%

Draws

38%

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Gimnasia E.R. picked up more points recently compared to Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 30%

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gimnasia E.R.	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	7	10
Draws	7	9
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	0.79	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.11
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia E.R. vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Mar 22, 2026 Torneo Federal

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia E.R.

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Sep 7, 2025 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia E.R. vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia E.R.

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Mar 23, 2025 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia E.R. vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia E.R. Compare

Top Goalscorer Germanier N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia E.R. 33 / 100

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gimnasia E.R. Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gimnasia E.R. attacking → ← attacking Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia E.R. scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Gimnasia E.R. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 39

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9