Sport Picks
Gimnasia E.R. vs Defensores de Vilelas
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez, Concepción del Uruguay 
Match Events
5'
5'
Navarro L.
19'
19'
Berlo B.
30'
30'
Remotti L.
AI Match Summary
Gimnasia E.R. in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia E.R..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia E.R.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gimnasia E.R. lately — more wins on the board than Defensores de Vilelas.
- Model gives Gimnasia E.R. a 41% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia E.R. | Defensores de Vilelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 24 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Defensores de Vilelas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia E.R. Compare
Top Goalscorer Palladino T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bogado M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Defensores de Vilelas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia E.R. 59 / 100
Defensores de Vilelas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia E.R. Defensores de Vilelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnasia E.R. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensores de Vilelas let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Gimnasia E.R. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Gimnasia E.R. found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia E.R. VS Defensores de Vilelas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia E.R.
(Home) 19 Sept
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Atletico Escobar
0 : 2 Gimnasia E.R.
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
02 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
4 : 0 Tucuman Central
26 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1 El Linqueno
Page 1 of 3
Defensores de Vilelas
(Away) 19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 5
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
08 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
12 Jul
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
