Sport Picks
Gimnasia E.R. vs Sarmiento Resistencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez, Concepción del Uruguay 
Match Events
33'
33'
Martinez P.
55'
55'
Bogado M.
60'
60'
Sub
Derewicki J. In: Alarcon G.
Out: Derewicki J.
AI Match Summary
Gimnasia E.R. in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia E.R..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gimnasia E.R.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gimnasia E.R. have won more games recently than Sarmiento Resistencia.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia E.R. taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia E.R. | Sarmiento Resistencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Sarmiento Resistencia
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Sarmiento Resistencia
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Gimnasia E.R.
1:0
Aug 25, 2022 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Sarmiento Resistencia
0:1
May 15, 2022 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Gimnasia E.R.
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia E.R. Compare
Top Goalscorer Favre A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sarmiento Resistencia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia E.R. 95 / 100
Sarmiento Resistencia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia E.R. Sarmiento Resistencia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnasia E.R. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sarmiento Resistencia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Gimnasia E.R. stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Sarmiento Resistencia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Gimnasia E.R. found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia E.R. VS Sarmiento Resistencia
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia E.R.
(Home) 19 Sept
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Atletico Escobar
0 : 2 Gimnasia E.R.
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
02 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
4 : 0 Tucuman Central
26 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1 El Linqueno
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento Resistencia
(Away) 19 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 3 El Linqueno
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
05 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
30 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
16 Aug
Sarmiento Resistencia
0 : 3 Boca Unidos
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
30 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
12 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Sarmiento Resistencia
03 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 1 Sarmiento Resistencia
05 Jul
Boca Unidos
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
