Sport Picks
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atl. Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio 23 de Agosto, Jujuy 
Match Events
10'
10'
Cachi M.
25'
25'
Soria H.
33'
33'
Ramos N.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Gimnasia Jujuy and Atl. Rafaela finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia Jujuy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia Jujuy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gimnasia Jujuy come out ahead of Atl. Rafaela on wins alone.
- Model gives Gimnasia Jujuy a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia Jujuy | Atl. Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atl. Rafaela
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy
0:0
Jul 23, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atl. Rafaela
1:0
Mar 6, 2022 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia Jujuy Compare
Top Goalscorer Camargo F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Molina F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Atl. Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramos N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia Jujuy 77 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia Jujuy Atl. Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnasia Jujuy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimnasia Jujuy's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Atl. Rafaela let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Gimnasia Jujuy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia Jujuy VS Atl. Rafaela
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia Jujuy
(Home) 03 Oct
Temperley
2 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2 San Martin T.
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
01 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1 Agropecuario
16 Aug
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 0 Chaco For Ever
10 Aug
Gimnasia Jujuy
0 : 2 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Rafaela
(Away) 10 Oct
Midland
4 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Midland
4 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
24 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 32:15 | 59 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 38:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 32:31 | 47 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27:34 | 42 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 27:35 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
