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Stadium Background

Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin T. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 23 de Agosto, Jujuy
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Veron M.
Assist: Gallardo N.
41' Event
Veron M.
Assist: Brinone S.
46'
Sub
Varela J. In: Arganaraz A.
Out: Varela J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gimnasia Jujuy
30%
Draws
33%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia Jujuy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnasia Jujuy lately — more wins on the board than San Martin T..
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia Jujuy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Jujuy San Martin T.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin T.
2:2
May 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:0
Jun 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin T.
2:0
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:0
Jan 18, 2023 Torneos De Verano
San Martin T. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Top Goalscorer Arganaraz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bianchi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Veron M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Jujuy 59 / 100
San Martin T. 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Jujuy San Martin T.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia Jujuy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Jujuy found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

San Martin T.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Gimnasia Jujuy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Jujuy VS San Martin T.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Jujuy

(Home)
03 Oct
Temperley
2 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6

San Martin T.

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)