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Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 Logo

Gimnasia L.P. 2

0 - 2
FT
Sarmiento Junin 2 Logo

Sarmiento Junin 2

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Marquez B.
21' Event
Wierna A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Gimnasia L.P. 2 and Sarmiento Junin 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento Junin 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gimnasia L.P. 2
35%
Draws
24%
Sarmiento Junin 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimnasia L.P. 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia L.P. 2 come out ahead of Sarmiento Junin 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gimnasia L.P. 2 a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gimnasia L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia L.P. 2 Sarmiento Junin 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
0:2
Mar 17, 2026 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2
2:0
Sep 23, 2025 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2
0:2
Apr 24, 2025 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
4:2
May 25, 2023 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia L.P. 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Sarmiento Junin 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wierna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia L.P. 2 77 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 2 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia L.P. 2 Sarmiento Junin 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia L.P. 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento Junin 2 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Gimnasia L.P. 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gimnasia L.P. 2's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia L.P. 2 VS Sarmiento Junin 2
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia L.P. 2

(Home)
23 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
16 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
San Lorenzo 2
08 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
0 : 0
Gimnasia L.P. 2
01 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
0 : 1
River Plate 2
25 Aug
Racing Club 2
1 : 4
Gimnasia L.P. 2
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Sarmiento Junin 2

(Away)
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
15 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Racing Club 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
01 Sept
Argentinos Jrs 2
1 : 1
Sarmiento Junin 2
25 Aug
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 0
Aldosivi 2
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 10 4 6 0 17:8 18
2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 10 6 0 4 13:11 18
3 Sarmiento Junin 2 10 4 5 1 11:6 17
4 Velez Sarsfield 2 10 4 4 2 10:3 16
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 10 4 4 2 10:4 16
6 Godoy Cruz 2 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
7 Rosario Central 2 10 4 4 2 13:14 16
8 Talleres Cordoba 2 10 3 5 2 9:8 14
9 Union de Santa Fe 2 10 2 7 1 12:8 13
10 Instituto 2 10 3 4 3 12:13 13
11 San Lorenzo 2 10 3 2 5 9:9 11
12 Racing Club 2 10 2 5 3 15:16 11
13 Tigre 2 10 3 2 5 13:18 11
14 Atl. Tucuman 2 10 3 2 5 6:12 11
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 10 2 4 4 6:10 10
16 Aldosivi 2 10 1 5 4 7:11 8
17 Banfield 2 10 2 2 6 9:16 8
18 Barracas Central 2 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 10 7 2 1 23:8 23
2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 10 6 3 1 10:4 21
3 Lanus 2 10 6 2 2 18:13 20
4 Boca Juniors 2 10 5 4 1 14:6 19
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
6 Deportivo Riestra 2 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 10 4 4 2 11:11 16
9 Quilmes 2 10 4 2 4 8:8 14
10 Huracan 2 10 4 1 5 12:9 13
11 Newells Old Boys 2 10 3 3 4 12:10 12
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 10 2 5 3 17:16 11
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
14 San Martin S.J. 2 10 2 4 4 7:16 10
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Ind. Rivadavia 2 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Platense 2 10 0 5 5 3:12 5
18 Ferro 2 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)