Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Garcia B.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia L.P. 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia L.P. 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gimnasia L.P. 2
28%
Draws
50%
Union de Santa Fe 2
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Union de Santa Fe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gimnasia L.P. 2 have won more games recently than Union de Santa Fe 2.
  • Union de Santa Fe 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gimnasia L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 21%
Union de Santa Fe 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia L.P. 2 Union de Santa Fe 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Reserve League
Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2
0:0
Feb 3, 2026 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
1:0
May 31, 2023 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
4:0
Aug 17, 2022 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
1:1
Apr 25, 2022 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia L.P. 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Union de Santa Fe 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia L.P. 2 24 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 2 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia L.P. 2 Union de Santa Fe 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia L.P. 2 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Union de Santa Fe 2 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Gimnasia L.P. 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia L.P. 2 VS Union de Santa Fe 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Velez Sarsfield 218142240:1144
2River Plate 21894524:1731
3Racing Club 21886427:2330
4Atl. Tucuman 21893626:2530
5Union de Santa Fe 21878323:1929
6Argentinos Jrs 21877424:1828
7Talleres Cordoba 21875627:2126
8Rosario Central 21875625:2226
9Instituto 21859420:2124
10San Lorenzo 21866622:2424
11Gimnasia L.P. 21865719:1723
12Gimnasia Mendoza 21865716:1923
13Banfield 21865714:1823
14Aldosivi 218531017:2818
15Barracas Central 21845911:2417
16Sarmiento Junin 218441016:2616
17Tigre 218441015:2516
18Godoy Cruz 218431120:3015
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors 218113433:1136
2Independiente 218113436:1636
3Lanus 218112539:2435
4Newells Old Boys 218104426:1634
5Quilmes 218103520:1233
6Defensa y Justicia 21895438:2432
7Estudiantes L.P. 21884625:1628
8CA Belgrano de Cordoba 21883727:2927
9Huracan 21875623:1726
10Platense 21875617:2026
11Deportivo Riestra 21874725:1825
12Ind. Rivadavia 21873823:2324
13Ferro 21864820:2322
14Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 21854921:3319
15Colon Santa Fe 218531015:2318
16Atl. Rafaela 218331221:3612
17Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21825119:3211
18San Martin S.J. 218221416:598