Sport Picks
Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Arambarri M. In: Vera F.
Out: Arambarri M.
56'
56'
Silva L.
61'
61'
Sub
Acuna M. In: Gonzalez F.
Out: Acuna M.
AI Match Summary
Gimnasia L.P. in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia L.P..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia L.P.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to River Plate lately — more wins on the board than Gimnasia L.P..
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia L.P. taking it.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 20%
River Plate Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 29, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate
1:0
May 14, 2026 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.
2:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia L.P. Compare
Top Goalscorer Steimbach A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
River Plate Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia L.P. 36 / 100
River Plate 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia L.P. River Plate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimnasia L.P.'s goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Gimnasia L.P. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
River Plate's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia L.P. VS River Plate
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia L.P.
(Home) 24 Jul
Racing Club
2 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
07 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3 Gimnasia L.P.
05 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
14 May
River Plate
2 : 0 Gimnasia L.P.
11 May
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 0 Argentinos Jrs
18 Apr
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
10 Apr
Gimnasia L.P.
4 : 1 Deportivo Camioneros
05 Apr
Gimnasia L.P.
0 : 3 Huracan
15 Mar
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 3 Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 3
River Plate
(Away) 25 Jul
River Plate
0 : 1 Barracas Central
18 Jul
River Plate
1 : 3 Aldosivi
03 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 2 River Plate
28 May
River Plate
3 : 0 Blooming
24 May
River Plate
2 : 3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Page 1 of 7
03 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 2 River Plate
08 May
Carabobo
1 : 2 River Plate
01 May
Bragantino
0 : 1 River Plate
12 Apr
Racing Club
0 : 2 River Plate
09 Apr
Blooming
1 : 1 River Plate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Riestra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Independiente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Newells Old Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Lanus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 | Instituto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Estudiantes L.P. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 3 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Huracan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Banfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | Rosario Central | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Sarmiento Junin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
