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Gimnasia Mendoza 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento Junin 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarmiento Junin 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
30%
Draws
23%
Sarmiento Junin 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia Mendoza 2 have won more games recently than Sarmiento Junin 2.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia Mendoza 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Sarmiento Junin 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Reserve League
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 59 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 2 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Sarmiento Junin 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Mendoza 2's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sarmiento Junin 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 VS Sarmiento Junin 2
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

(Home)
24 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
0 : 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
16 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1 : 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
10 Sept
Banfield 2
1 : 2
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
03 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1 : 2
Rosario Central 2
27 Aug
Tigre 2
1 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Page 1 of 6

Sarmiento Junin 2

(Away)
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
15 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Racing Club 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
01 Sept
Argentinos Jrs 2
1 : 1
Sarmiento Junin 2
25 Aug
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 0
Aldosivi 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 10 4 6 0 17:8 18
2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 10 6 0 4 13:11 18
3 Sarmiento Junin 2 10 4 5 1 11:6 17
4 Velez Sarsfield 2 10 4 4 2 10:3 16
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 10 4 4 2 10:4 16
6 Godoy Cruz 2 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
7 Rosario Central 2 10 4 4 2 13:14 16
8 Talleres Cordoba 2 10 3 5 2 9:8 14
9 Union de Santa Fe 2 10 2 7 1 12:8 13
10 Instituto 2 10 3 4 3 12:13 13
11 San Lorenzo 2 10 3 2 5 9:9 11
12 Racing Club 2 10 2 5 3 15:16 11
13 Tigre 2 10 3 2 5 13:18 11
14 Atl. Tucuman 2 10 3 2 5 6:12 11
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 10 2 4 4 6:10 10
16 Aldosivi 2 10 1 5 4 7:11 8
17 Banfield 2 10 2 2 6 9:16 8
18 Barracas Central 2 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 10 7 2 1 23:8 23
2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 10 6 3 1 10:4 21
3 Lanus 2 10 6 2 2 18:13 20
4 Boca Juniors 2 10 5 4 1 14:6 19
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
6 Deportivo Riestra 2 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 10 4 4 2 11:11 16
9 Quilmes 2 10 4 2 4 8:8 14
10 Huracan 2 10 4 1 5 12:9 13
11 Newells Old Boys 2 10 3 3 4 12:10 12
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 10 2 5 3 17:16 11
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
14 San Martin S.J. 2 10 2 4 4 7:16 10
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Ind. Rivadavia 2 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Platense 2 10 0 5 5 3:12 5
18 Ferro 2 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)