Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union de Santa Fe

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Gimnasia Mendoza Logo

Gimnasia Mendoza

2 - 0
FT
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Fernandez E.
14'
Lencioni F.
45' Event
Modica A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Mendoza in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Mendoza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gimnasia Mendoza
20%
Draws
34%
Union de Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia Mendoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia Mendoza have won more games recently than Union de Santa Fe.
  • Win probability leans Gimnasia Mendoza's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 68%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Mendoza Union de Santa Fe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union de Santa Fe
2:0
Feb 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza
4:0
Apr 18, 2024 Copa Argentina
Union de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Mendoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Modica A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Mendoza 59 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Mendoza Union de Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia Mendoza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia Mendoza scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gimnasia Mendoza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Mendoza VS Union de Santa Fe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Mendoza

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2
Boca Juniors
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 6

Union de Santa Fe

(Away)
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 11 8 1 2 17:8 25
2 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
3 Boca Juniors 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
4 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
5 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
6 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
7 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
10 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
4 Gimnasia L.P. 11 5 3 3 16:16 18
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
10 Atl. Tucuman 11 3 4 4 9:9 13
11 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)