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Stadium Background

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union de Santa Fe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Fernandez E.
14'
Lencioni F.
45' Event
Modica A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Mendoza in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Mendoza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gimnasia Mendoza
20%
Draws
30%
Union de Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia Mendoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Union de Santa Fe have won more games recently than Gimnasia Mendoza.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 14%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Mendoza Union de Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union de Santa Fe
2:0
Feb 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza
4:0
Apr 18, 2024 Copa Argentina
Union de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Mendoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Modica A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Mendoza 31 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Mendoza Union de Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia Mendoza scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gimnasia Mendoza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Mendoza VS Union de Santa Fe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Mendoza

(Home)
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2
Boca Juniors
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 6

Union de Santa Fe

(Away)
10 Oct
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Defensa y Justicia 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
3 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
4 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 12 4 2 6 15:13 14
10 Union de Santa Fe 12 4 1 7 17:21 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 12 2 4 6 10:16 10
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 12 5 4 3 11:10 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 12 5 3 4 10:9 18
9 River Plate 11 5 1 5 14:12 16
10 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
11 Banfield 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
12 Tigre 12 3 3 6 11:13 12
13 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 12 1 3 8 6:16 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)