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Gimnasia y Tiro vs Atletico Atlanta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia y Tiro host Atletico Atlanta in the Primera Nacional. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Gimnasia y Tiro have averaged 0.87 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Atletico Atlanta's 1.17 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Gimnasia y Tiro have won 1 to Atletico Atlanta's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 0.75) point toward Atletico Atlanta. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gimnasia y Tiro
20%
Draws
52%
Atletico Atlanta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Atlanta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Atlanta a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Atletico Atlanta
2:2
May 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:0
Jul 28, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Atletico Atlanta
1:0
Mar 12, 2024 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 28 / 100
Atletico Atlanta 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Atletico Atlanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Atlanta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gimnasia y Tiro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico Atlanta let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Atletico Atlanta
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Atlanta

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3
Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Agropecuario
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)