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Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta
Gimnasia y Tiro Logo

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 - 0
FT
Deportivo Maipu Logo

Deportivo Maipu

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Banega T.
58'
Sub
Giacone J. In: Viguet M.
Out: Giacone J.
58'
Sub
de la Reta J. In: Fernandez N.
Out: de la Reta J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Gimnasia y Tiro and Deportivo Maipu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia y Tiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gimnasia y Tiro
35%
Draws
37%
Deportivo Maipu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Maipu come out ahead of Gimnasia y Tiro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 25%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:0
Apr 10, 2014 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 37 / 100
Deportivo Maipu 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maipu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Deportivo Maipu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Gimnasia y Tiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Deportivo Maipu
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maipu

(Away)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)