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Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia y Tiro host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Deportivo Maipu have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Gimnasia y Tiro have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Gimnasia y Tiro slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.75 - 1.06) back Gimnasia y Tiro to edge this. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gimnasia y Tiro
44%
Draws
20%
Deportivo Maipu
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Maipu come out ahead of Gimnasia y Tiro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 22%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:0
Apr 10, 2014 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu
3:2
Mar 16, 2014 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 37 / 100
Deportivo Maipu 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Deportivo Maipu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Gimnasia y Tiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Deportivo Maipu
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Home)
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1
Patronato
04 Jul
Colegiales
1 : 2
Gimnasia y Tiro
21 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
06 Jun
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Midland
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maipu

(Away)
17 Jul
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
San Martin T.
11 Jul
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 3
Deportivo Maipu
05 Jul
Deportivo Maipu
2 : 0
Agropecuario
21 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
14 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)