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Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Atl. Madrid B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Nou Estadi de Tarragona, Tarragona
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimnastic de Tarragona host Atl. Madrid B in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Gimnastic de Tarragona at 0.9 goals for, 1.55 against; Atl. Madrid B at 1.6 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor Gimnastic de Tarragona slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.63) back Atl. Madrid B to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gimnastic de Tarragona
20%
Draws
51%
Atl. Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid B lately — more wins on the board than Gimnastic de Tarragona.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Madrid B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 14%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Tarragona Atl. Madrid B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Atl. Madrid B
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Tarragona 19 / 100
Atl. Madrid B 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Tarragona Atl. Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gimnastic de Tarragona's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Gimnastic de Tarragona remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Tarragona VS Atl. Madrid B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Tarragona

(Home)
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2
Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
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Atl. Madrid B

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
25 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 3
Villarreal B
19 Sept
Huesca
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
9 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)