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Gimnastica Segoviana vs Marino De Luanco

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio La Albuera
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimnastica Segoviana play Marino De Luanco in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gimnastica Segoviana averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Marino De Luanco averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Gimnastica Segoviana won 3, Marino De Luanco won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 4, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Gimnastica Segoviana and 1.13 for Marino De Luanco. This points to a Gimnastica Segoviana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gimnastica Segoviana
30%
Draws
29%
Marino De Luanco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastica Segoviana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastica Segoviana picked up more points recently compared to Marino De Luanco.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 21%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastica Segoviana Marino De Luanco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastica Segoviana vs Marino De Luanco
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Gimnastica Segoviana
0:0
Apr 24, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Gimnastica Segoviana
1:2
Dec 5, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastica Segoviana vs Marino De Luanco
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastica Segoviana Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguelez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tenas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Marino De Luanco Compare

Top Goalscorer Bravo M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastica Segoviana 41 / 100
Marino De Luanco 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastica Segoviana Marino De Luanco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gimnastica Segoviana or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gimnastica Segoviana attacking → ← attacking Marino De Luanco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastica Segoviana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Marino De Luanco let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Gimnastica Segoviana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Marino De Luanco lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 38
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715