Sport Picks
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J2/J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu 
Match Events
7'
7'
Fujimura K.
Assist: Aoki Y.
9'
9'
Kawabe S.
Assist: Hoshi K.
11'
11'
Saga R.
Assist: Arita R.
AI Match Summary
The J2/J3 League game between Giravanz Kitakyushu and Kagoshima United finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kagoshima United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kagoshima United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kagoshima United come out ahead of Giravanz Kitakyushu on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Kagoshima United's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Giravanz Kitakyushu | Kagoshima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United
1:1
May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United
1:5
Apr 5, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare
Top Goalscorer Kawabe S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Arita R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Fujimura K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Giravanz Kitakyushu 26 / 100
Kagoshima United 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Giravanz Kitakyushu Kagoshima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Giravanz Kitakyushu's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Kagoshima United let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Giravanz Kitakyushu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Kagoshima United
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Giravanz Kitakyushu
(Home) 29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4 Gainare Tottori
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4 Gainare Tottori
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0 Iwaki
30 Aug
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 3
Kagoshima United
(Away) 26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Ryukyu
02 Sept
Kagoshima United
0 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
29 Aug
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4 Kagoshima United
26 Aug
Albirex Niigata
0 : 4 Kagoshima United
16 Aug
Nara Club
1 : 3 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
