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Stadium Background

Girona vs Alaves

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Morante I. In: Beltran F.
Out: Morante I.
32'
Sub
Garcia J. In: Misehouy G.
Out: Garcia J.
32'
Sub
Vanat V. In: Pyshchur O.
Out: Vanat V.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Girona and Alaves finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Girona
15%
Draws
37%
Alaves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Girona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Girona's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Girona Clean Sheet 68%
Alaves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Girona Alaves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Girona vs Alaves
0:1
Feb 23, 2026 LaLiga
Alaves vs Girona
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Alaves
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Alaves vs Girona
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Alaves
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Girona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Girona 50 / 100
Alaves 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Girona Alaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Girona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Alaves has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Girona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Girona VS Alaves
2 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Girona

(Home)
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2
Girona
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2
Girona
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
21 Aug
Cordoba
2 : 1
Girona
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Alaves

(Away)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
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