Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Girona vs Alaves

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Morante I. In: Beltran F.
Out: Morante I.
32'
Sub
Jastin G. In: Misehouy G.
Out: Jastin G.
32'
Sub
Vanat V. In: Pyshchur O.
Out: Vanat V.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Girona and Alaves finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Girona
40%
Draws
29%
Alaves
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Girona Clean Sheet 18%
Alaves Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Girona Alaves
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Girona vs Alaves
0:1
Feb 23, 2026 LaLiga
Alaves vs Girona
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Alaves
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Alaves vs Girona
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Alaves
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Girona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Girona 32 / 100
Alaves 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Girona Alaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Alaves has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Girona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Girona VS Alaves
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Girona

(Home)
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3
Girona
23 May
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
17 May
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0
Girona
14 May
Girona
1 : 1
Real Sociedad
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Alaves

(Away)
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1
Eibar
23 May
Alaves
1 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
17 May
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Alaves
13 May
Alaves
1 : 0
Barcelona
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