Sport Picks
Girona vs Real Sociedad
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona 
Match Events
12'
12'
Barrenetxea A.
28'
28'
Martin J.
Assist: Gomez S.
34'
34'
Sub
Barrenetxea A. In: Marin P.
Out: Barrenetxea A.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Girona and Real Sociedad finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Girona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Real Sociedad come out ahead of Girona on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Girona's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Girona Clean Sheet 20%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Girona | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2026 LaLiga
Girona vs Real Sociedad
1:1
Dec 12, 2025 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Girona
1:2
May 18, 2025 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Girona
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 LaLiga
Girona vs Real Sociedad
0:1
Feb 3, 2024 LaLiga
Girona vs Real Sociedad
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Girona Compare
Top Goalscorer Stuani C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Real Sociedad Compare
Top Goalscorer Martin J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Girona 40 / 100
Real Sociedad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Girona Real Sociedad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Real Sociedad conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Girona found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Girona stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Girona VS Real Sociedad
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Girona
(Home) 22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3 Girona
23 May
Girona
1 : 1 Elche
17 May
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0 Girona
14 May
Girona
1 : 1 Real Sociedad
11 May
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Girona
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Girona
1 : 1 Elche
14 May
Girona
1 : 1 Real Sociedad
01 May
Girona
0 : 1 Mallorca
21 Apr
Girona
2 : 3 Betis
06 Apr
Girona
1 : 0 Villarreal
Page 1 of 3
Real Sociedad
(Away) 18 Jul
Real Sociedad
1 : 1 Racing Santander
11 Jul
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 Pau
23 May
Espanyol
1 : 1 Real Sociedad
17 May
Real Sociedad
3 : 4 Valencia
14 May
Girona
1 : 1 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Espanyol
1 : 1 Real Sociedad
14 May
Girona
1 : 1 Real Sociedad
04 May
Sevilla
1 : 0 Real Sociedad
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 3 Real Sociedad
18 Apr
Atl. Madrid
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)