Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gjovik-Lyn vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 Gjøvik Stadion, Gjøvik
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Tveten L.

AI Match Summary

Gjovik-Lyn in this Division 3 - Group 6 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gjovik-Lyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gjovik-Lyn
15%
Draws
53%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 haven't matched Gjovik-Lyn's recent run of results.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Gjovik-Lyn taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gjovik-Lyn Clean Sheet 20%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gjovik-Lyn Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.86 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Gjovik-Lyn
3:2
May 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Gjovik-Lyn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gjovik-Lyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Tveten L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gjovik-Lyn 40 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gjovik-Lyn Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gjovik-Lyn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gjovik-Lyn's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gjovik-Lyn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gjovik-Lyn VS Sarpsborg 08 2
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gjovik-Lyn

(Home)
03 Oct
Gjovik-Lyn
5 : 0
Raelingen
26 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
19 Sept
Drobak-Frogn
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
12 Sept
Gjovik-Lyn
2 : 0
Lyn 2
05 Sept
Rade
2 : 0
Gjovik-Lyn
Page 1 of 6

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Drobak-Frogn
4 : 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
26 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
21 Sept
Lyn 2
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
Page 1 of 6