Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GKS Belchatow vs Troszyn

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 GIEKSA Arena, Belchatow
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Tyska J.
45' Event
Caceres D.
68'
Bartosinski J.

AI Match Summary

Troszyn in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troszyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
GKS Belchatow
28%
Draws
50%
Troszyn
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Troszyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Troszyn lately — more wins on the board than GKS Belchatow.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Troszyn taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GKS Belchatow Troszyn
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Troszyn
0:3
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs GKS Belchatow
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GKS Belchatow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Troszyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyska J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caceres D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Belchatow 22 / 100
Troszyn 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GKS Belchatow Troszyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

GKS Belchatow scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Troszyn conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

GKS Belchatow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GKS Belchatow VS Troszyn
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GKS Belchatow

(Home)
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
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Troszyn

(Away)
18 Jul
Olimpia Zambrow
0 : 3
Troszyn
30 May
GKS Wikielec
2 : 1
Troszyn
23 May
Troszyn
0 : 2
LKS Lomza
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
13 May
Troszyn
4 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)