Sport Picks

Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion miejski w Katowicach

GKS Katowice

3 - 1

Jagiellonia

Our Tip

Match Events

Polak C.

39'

Imaz J.

44'

Shkurin I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

GKS Katowice in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored GKS Katowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

GKS Katowice

44%

Draws

20%

Jagiellonia

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

GKS Katowice have won more games recently than Jagiellonia.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Cup games in Polish Cup 2025/2026 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

GKS Katowice Clean Sheet 20%

Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	GKS Katowice	Jagiellonia
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	15	13
Draws	7	9
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	2.13	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ekstraklasa

GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Mar 17, 2026 Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Dec 4, 2025 Polish Cup

GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Mar 2, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Aug 25, 2024 Ekstraklasa

GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GKS Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Shkurin I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Jagiellonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Katowice 36 / 100

Jagiellonia 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

GKS Katowice Jagiellonia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GKS Katowice scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Jagiellonia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

GKS Katowice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

GKS Katowice VS Jagiellonia

2.13 Goals Scored 1.75

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Zawisza-

TBD-

Tychy-

GKS Wikielec-

TBD-

Podbeskidzie2

R. Rzeszow1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg-

TBD-

Hutnik Krakow3

Zaglebie Sosnowiec0

Bytom Odrzanski-

TBD-

Wisla-

Beskid Andrychow-

TBD-

Chojniczanka2

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1

Legnica II-

TBD-

Swit Szczecin2

LKS Lodz II1

Malapanew Ozimek-

TBD-

Pruszkow-

S. Rzeszow-

TBD-

Korona Kielce-

LKS Lomza-

TBD-

Odra Opole-

Korona Kielce II-

TBD-

Piast Gliwice-

Gryf Slupsk-

TBD-

Polonia Warszawa-

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Stal Mielec-

TBD-

Puszcza-

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3

Wisla Pulawy0

TBD-

Lechia Gdansk-

Arka Gdynia-

TBD-

Motor Lublin-

Legia II-

TBD-

Gornik Zabrze-

Avia Swidnik-

TBD-

Ruch Chorzow-

Swinoujscie-

TBD-

KKS Kalisz0

GKS Jastrzebie2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II-

TBD-

Stal Stalowa Wola3

Skra Czestochowa1

Warta Poznan1

Olimpia Elblag0

Polonia Bytom7

Zaglebie II1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-

TBD-

KS Wieczysta Krakow0

Ol. Grudziadz1

Tomaszow Mazowiecki-

TBD-

Slask Wroclaw-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Leczna-

TBD-

Cracovia-

LKS Lodz-

TBD-

Chrobry Glogow-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Wisla Plock-

Legnica-

TBD-

Pogon Siedlce-

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Legia-

TBD-

Kotwica Kolobrzeg-

TBD-

Pogon Szczecin-

Termalica Bruk-Bet-

TBD-

Widzew Lodz-

Radomiak Radom-

TBD-

Zaglebie-

1/32-finals

Zawisza2

Tychy0

GKS Wikielec2

Podbeskidzie1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg0

Hutnik Krakow1

Bytom Odrzanski0

Wisla1

Beskid Andrychow0

Chojniczanka3

Legnica II1

Swit Szczecin3

Malapanew Ozimek1

Pruszkow2

S. Rzeszow0

Korona Kielce1

LKS Lomza0

Odra Opole2

Korona Kielce II0

Piast Gliwice1

Gryf Slupsk1

Polonia Warszawa0

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Stal Mielec1

Puszcza2

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0

Lechia Gdansk1

Arka Gdynia1

Motor Lublin0

Legia II0

Gornik Zabrze3

Avia Swidnik3

Ruch Chorzow1

Swinoujscie3

GKS Jastrzebie2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II3

Stal Stalowa Wola1

Warta Poznan0

Polonia Bytom1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1

Ol. Grudziadz3

Tomaszow Mazowiecki1

Slask Wroclaw2

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Leczna1

Cracovia5

LKS Lodz5

Chrobry Glogow3

GKS Katowice4

Wisla Plock2

Legnica2

Pogon Siedlce0

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Legia-

TBD-

Kotwica Kolobrzeg0

Pogon Szczecin3

Termalica Bruk-Bet2

Widzew Lodz3

Radomiak Radom0

Zaglebie2

1/16-finals

Zawisza3

GKS Wikielec0

Hutnik Krakow0

Wisla1

Chojniczanka3

Swit Szczecin1

Pruszkow0

Korona Kielce3

Odra Opole0

Piast Gliwice2

Gryf Slupsk1

Lech Poznan2

Puszcza1

Lechia Gdansk3

Arka Gdynia1

Gornik Zabrze2

Avia Swidnik3

Swinoujscie0

Goczalkowice Zdroj II0

Polonia Bytom7

Ol. Grudziadz0

Slask Wroclaw1

Rakow Czestochowa3

Cracovia0

LKS Lodz1

GKS Katowice2

Legnica2

Jagiellonia3

Legia1

Pogon Szczecin2

Widzew Lodz1

Zaglebie0

1/8-finals

Zawisza4

Wisla1

Chojniczanka2

Korona Kielce1

Piast Gliwice0

Lech Poznan2

Lechia Gdansk1

Gornik Zabrze3

Avia Swidnik4

Polonia Bytom2

Slask Wroclaw1

Rakow Czestochowa2

GKS Katowice3

Jagiellonia1

Pogon Szczecin0

Widzew Lodz1

Quarter-finals

Zawisza2

Chojniczanka1

Lech Poznan0

Gornik Zabrze1

Avia Swidnik1

Rakow Czestochowa2

GKS Katowice2

Widzew Lodz1

Semi-finals

Zawisza0

Gornik Zabrze1

Rakow Czestochowa5

GKS Katowice4

Final

Gornik Zabrze2

Rakow Czestochowa0