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Glauchau vs Freital - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Glauchau Logo

Glauchau

1 - 4
FT
Freital Logo

Freital

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Glauchau and Freital finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Glauchau
35%
Draws
49%
Freital
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Freital come out ahead of Glauchau on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Freital taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Glauchau Clean Sheet 14%
Freital Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glauchau Freital
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Glauchau vs Freital
1:4
Aug 30, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Glauchau
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glauchau 27 / 100
Freital 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glauchau Freital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freital Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glauchau found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Freital's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Glauchau remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Glauchau VS Freital
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Glauchau

(Home)
26 Sept
Glauchau
0 : 0
Dresden II
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
13 Sept
Glauchau
1 : 1
Plauen
30 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Glauchau
16 Aug
Glauchau
1 : 4
Halberstadt
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Freital

(Away)
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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