Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Glenavon vs Dollingstown

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2022/2023 Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Doyle J.
25' Event
Scannell C.
44' Event
Scannell C.

AI Match Summary

Glenavon in this Irish League Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Glenavon
20%
Draws
0%
Dollingstown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Dollingstown haven't matched Glenavon's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Glenavon taking it.
  • Glenavon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Glenavon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Glenavon here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 68%
Dollingstown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenavon Dollingstown
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 1
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.92 1
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Dollingstown vs Glenavon
1:2
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Dollingstown vs Glenavon
1:5
Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Dollingstown vs Glenavon
1:3
Sep 13, 2022 Irish League Cup
Glenavon vs Dollingstown
6:0
Aug 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Dollingstown vs Glenavon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenavon Compare

Top Goalscorer Scannell C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Doyle J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Dollingstown Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenavon 95 / 100
Dollingstown 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenavon Dollingstown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dollingstown let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Dollingstown has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Glenavon's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Glenavon VS Dollingstown
0.63 Goals Scored 0.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenavon

(Home)
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
Page 1 of 8

Dollingstown

(Away)
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
24 Jul
Dollingstown
0 : 3
Loughgall
07 Oct
Dollingstown
0 : 8
Coleraine
22 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 2
Glenavon
05 Jul
Larne
5 : 0
Dollingstown
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 3
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Dollingstown 2
Ballymacash 1
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Moyola 4
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Larne -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 2
PSNI 1
1/16-finals
Harland & Wolff 0
Cliftonville 3
Carrick Rangers 5
Banbridge 0
Ballyclare 4
Ballinamallard 2
Limavady 0
Newry City 1
Ards 2
Ballymena 4
Coleraine 4
Dergview 0
Dungannon 3
Queens University 0
Portadown 5
Armagh 0
Glenavon 6
Dollingstown 0
Loughgall 5
Knockbreda 0
Glentoran 7
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 1
Newington FC 0
Dundela 2
Crusaders 1
Moyola 1
Linfield 5
Bangor FC 0
Annagh 4
Larne 5
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 6
Carrick Rangers 0
Ballyclare 1
Newry City 2
Ballymena 0
Coleraine 1
Dungannon 2
Portadown 1
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Glentoran 6
Warrenpoint 0
Dundela 0
Linfield 1
Annagh 2
Larne 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 3
Newry City 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 0
Loughgall 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 3
Annagh 0
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 2
Coleraine 3
Glentoran 0
Linfield 3
Final
Coleraine 0
Linfield 2