Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Glenavon vs Donegal

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2017/2018 Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Glenavon Logo

Glenavon

5 - 1
FT
Donegal Logo

Donegal

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Monaghan D.
13' Event
O'Mahony J.
24' Event
Sykes M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Glenavon in this Irish League Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Glenavon
15%
Draws
0%
Donegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Glenavon have won more games recently than Donegal.
  • Glenavon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Glenavon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Glenavon, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 68%
Donegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenavon Donegal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 1.59 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.65 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2017 Irish League Cup
Glenavon vs Donegal
5:1
Apr 27, 2013 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Donegal
3:1
Jan 1, 2013 NIFL Premiership
Donegal vs Glenavon
1:0
Nov 10, 2012 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Donegal
4:2
Aug 31, 2012 NIFL Premiership
Donegal vs Glenavon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenavon Compare

Top Goalscorer Sykes M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader O'Mahony J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Donegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Monaghan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenavon 95 / 100
Donegal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenavon Donegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Donegal has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Donegal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Glenavon found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Glenavon VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenavon

(Home)
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4
Glenavon
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1
Ballymena
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5
Doncaster
Page 1 of 7

Donegal

(Away)
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0
Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1
Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1
Donegal
20 Aug
Donegal
1 : 3
Oxford Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Harland & Wolff 3
Armagh 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Annagh 0
Dergview 4
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
Portstewart 2
Limavady 3
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Lurgan Celtic 1
Sport & Leisure 0
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Knockbreda 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Portadown 3
Glenavon 5
Donegal 1
Queens University 0
Ards 5
Carrick Rangers 3
Dergview 0
Loughgall 0
Glentoran 1
PSNI 1
Limavady 0
Banbridge 0
Cliftonville 4
Dungannon 4
Newry City 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Warrenpoint 4
Institute 2
Moyola 1
Newington FC 0
Ballyclare 2
Linfield 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Tobermore 0
Ballinamallard 1
Coleraine 4
Larne 1
Dundela 1
Crusaders 2
1/8-finals
Ballymena 2
Portadown 0
Glenavon 0
Ards 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 0
PSNI 0
Cliftonville 7
Dungannon 1
Warrenpoint 0
Institute 0
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 3
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 2
Crusaders 3
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 3
Ards 2
Carrick Rangers 0
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 0
Crusaders 2
Semi-finals
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Crusaders 1
Final
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 3