Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Glenavon vs Rosemount Rec Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019 Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Donnelly S.
22' Event
Donnelly S.
66' Event
Hamilton G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Glenavon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Glenavon
15%
Draws
32%
Rosemount Rec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Glenavon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Glenavon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Glenavon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Glenavon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 16%
Rosemount Rec Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenavon Rosemount Rec
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.7 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2019 Irish Cup
Glenavon vs Rosemount Rec
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenavon Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnelly S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hamilton G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Rosemount Rec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenavon 84 / 100
Rosemount Rec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenavon Rosemount Rec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosemount Rec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 9 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Glenavon found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Glenavon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Glenavon VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenavon

(Home)
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
Page 1 of 6

Rosemount Rec

(Away)
06 Jan
Loughgall
3 : 0
Rosemount Rec
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
17 Aug
Rosemount Rec
2 : 3
Dunmurry Rec
05 Jan
Glenavon
5 : 0
Rosemount Rec
01 Dec
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Ballinamallard -
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Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 6
Cookstown Youth 1
Aquinas 3
Foundry 4
Moneyslane FC -
TBD -
Bangor Swifts 1
Crumlin United 2
Newtowne FC 6
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Broomhedge 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 12
Annagh -
TBD -
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Rosemount Rec -
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
St Luke's 0
TBD -
Dundonald -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Mossley FC 3
Iveagh Utd 2
Dungiven 5
Lurgan Town Boys -
TBD -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Desertmartin 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Hanover 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 2
Sofia Farmer 1
Seapatrick 1
Coagh Utd 6
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge -
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Ballymoney 2
Rosario Youth 1
Derriaghy 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ardstraw 7
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Brantwood 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 2
Saintfield 1
Laurelvale 3
Valley Rangers 3
Tandragee 2
TBD -
Newington FC -
Comber Rec 1
Immaculata 0
Dromara 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness -
Shankill -
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Bangor Old Boys -
Wellington Rec -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 9
Malachians 2
Lower Maze 2
Trojans 3
Ballynahinch United 3
Groomsport 2
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Seagoe -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Woodvale 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Oxford Sunnyside 6
Bryansburn 3
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Portstewart -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Markethill 3
Killyleagh Youth 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Sirocco 0
Glebe 1
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Moyola -
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Crewe -
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa -
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Chimney 2
Grove 5
Colin Valley 2
Suffolk 1
Silverwood 1
Shorts 8
Fivemiletown 7
Bloomfield 0
Oxford Stars 0
Wakehurst 1
Bangor Amateurs FC 3
Newcastle 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Tullycarnet 4
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 2
Foundry 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Crumlin United 5
Newtowne FC 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 0
Annagh 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Dundonald 0
Dunmurry Rec 1
Dungiven 4
Lurgan Town Boys 4
Desertmartin 1
Armagh 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 4
Coagh Utd 2
Ards Rangers 0
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ballymoney 1
Strabane Athletic 5
Queens University 4
Dollingstown 3
Ardstraw 3
Tobermore 5
Brantwood 2
Laurelvale 1
Valley Rangers 1
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Drumaness 4
Shankill 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Wellington Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 3
Trojans 1
Ballynahinch United 3
Seagoe 4
Lurgan Celtic -
St. Patricks Young -
Oxford Sunnyside -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure 2
Kilmore Rec 1
Moyola 1
Crewe 2
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Grove 3
Colin Valley 3
Shorts 4
Fivemiletown 3
Wakehurst 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Tullycarnet 1
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Islandmagee 3
Crumlin United 1
Newtowne FC 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dungiven 1
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Dunloy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 2
Newbuildings 0
Banbridge 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Tobermore 3
Brantwood 2
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 2
Drumaness 1
Shankill 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 4
Seagoe 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 5
Bangor FC 3
Sport & Leisure 0
Crewe 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 3
Shorts 1
Fivemiletown 1
Tullycarnet 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
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TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Rosemount Rec 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dunloy 0
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 4
Newington FC 1
Comber Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 1
Portstewart 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 2
Crewe 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Tullycarnet 3
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
PSNI 1
Ards 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Glenavon 5
Rosemount Rec 0
Cliftonville 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Limavady 0
Knockbreda 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Maiden City 2
Dergview 3
Crumlin Star 4
Loughgall 1
Newry City 1
Larne 2
Ballymena 3
Dundela 1
Abbey Villa 1
Portadown 5
Linfield 1
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 4
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Strabane Athletic 1
Queens University 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 3
Dergview 0
Crumlin Star 1
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Linfield 1
Crusaders 2
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 3
Dungannon 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 5
Larne 3
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Warrenpoint 0
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 2
Final
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 3